Con Obama, sí Podemos

Escrito a las 6:29 pm

Intervención las mañanas cuatro

Esta semana me he sentado, en el programa Las Mañanas de Cuatro, con Juan Carlos Monedero y he intentado una vez más explicarle el error de las políticas económicas con las que hace campaña Podemos. El partido político de Pablo Iglesias se empeña en abrir la posibilidad de impagar la deuda pública española insistiendo en el mensaje de que hacerlo equivale a atacar a la mafia que domina al mundo, sin darse cuenta de las consecuencias nefastas que tendría para la gente corriente.

En España hay 100.000 millones de euros invertidos en fondos de inversión y fondos de pensiones de ciudadanos de a pie, de autónomos, de trabajadores. La Seguridad Social tiene 60.000 millones de euros invertidos en deuda pública. ¿Está planteando Podemos no devolver esos ahorros a sus dueños? ¿Está planteando impagar a la Seguridad Social? Todo mi libro Hay vida después de la crisis está escrito para buscar una solución al impago de la deuda pública.

La solución está en el crecimiento, en el Podemos en su versión original americana, el Yes, we can, el lema de campaña de Obama. El presidente de EEUU se encontró al llegar al poder un país con el sistema financiero quebrado, un país que había destruido un 10% del empleo. Su plan no fue cambiar el modelo, siguen siendo capitalistas, no ha echado a la casta, no ha recortado los salarios, no ha impagado la deuda. ¿Qué ha hecho? Primero, en 2008 se hizo un plan de saneamiento bancario muy fuerte de 700.000 millones de dólares que aprobó Bush con el apoyo del Congreso; segundo, en enero de 2009 Obama aprobó un plan de estímulo fiscal de 700.000 millones de dólares y tercero, su banco central (la Reserva Federal o Fed) ha seguido una política monetaria adecuada para evitar que el plan de estímulo subiera tipos de interés y restringiera el crédito como ha pasado en Europa.

El resultado de Obama y del Podemos americano son ocho millones de empleos. EEUU, con un buen plan de política económica, ya tiene el nivel de empleo de 2007. ¿Cuál es el debate en EEUU una vez que has cerrado ese boquete? El salario mínimo, la desigualdad, la sanidad pública que se está creando… En este país el problema, lo que preocupa al 80% de la gente es la tasa de paro. Vamos a solucionar eso, vamos a hacer políticas para crear empleo y, pensemos que impagar la deuda pública lo que hace es destruirlo. 

 



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[…] la propuesta que hizo este economista observador en 2009 para frenar los desahucios siguiendo el modelo de Obama en EEUU. Un mesa a tres entre el banco, el taxista y Hacienda y, en los casos probados de pérdida y riesgo […]

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145 comentarios

001
ice
26.09.2014 a las 20:28 Enlace Permanente

¿Sabes que pasa con la solución de Obama y su bajada de empleo?

La población activa de USA en todos estos años del gobierno del «yes, we can» ha caído más de un 2%, la desigualdad ha crecido (ricos más ricos y la clase media cada vez más pobre) y no se retirán los estímulos monetarios por temor a que el país vuelva a caer en la recesión.

Además, el dólar cada vez tiene menos valor y otra que se os olvida decir a los Obamafilos es que lo empleos que se crean en los USA, gracias a estos estímulos, son la mayoría empleos basura y de muy baja cualificación y salario. Más desigualdad.
Ni hablemos del aumento de la deuda pública americana con Obama (y también con Bush. Una deuda impagable, como la española.

Señor Diez, usted siga con su campaña anti podemos y anti venezuela, que cada día que pasa se desacredita usted un poco más y haga el favor de mirarse con más cuidado lo que supones los estímulos obamianos

002
Prudencio López
26.09.2014 a las 22:27 Enlace Permanente

Con todo el respeto que me merece tu experta opinión, creo que el cambio necesario requiere enfrentar el mal mayor que es la corrupción del propio sistema, podrido y avejentado.
Mi opinión es que el propio devenir del cambio traerá la solución a lo que hoy nos parece un cambio excesivo.
Gracias por ayudarnos a todos a mirar pros y contras del propio cambio. Haces una gran labor, estimado José Carlos.

003
Fer...
27.09.2014 a las 04:01 Enlace Permanente

Buenas. Como apunta el primer comentario, mantienes una «cruzada anti Podemos» que te resta credibilidad cada día.

Y como también apuntan los dos comentarios, lo de Obama está muy bien, pero para mantener el enfermo en la UCI y conectado a las máquinas, pero no solucionada, pobres más pobres, ricos más ricos, deuda impagable porque nunca mengua, siempre aumenta, siempre el dichoso aumento del techo del gasto, debate estéril porque siempre lo aumentan, es decir no hay límites y eso carece de sentido porque vivimos en un mundo limitado.

La solución a un problema no puede ser aumentar el problema, algo falla en ese planteamiento.

004
Valeri
27.09.2014 a las 04:30 Enlace Permanente

Jose Carlos, conozco varias personas que trabajan en USA
Te cuentan las brutales diferencias economicas entre las clases más adineradas y la clase media y media-baja.
Me han mostrado fotos de numerosas caravanas en las periferias de las ciudades. Recordando mucho a las barracas de las ciudades españolas.
Explican que en muchos supermercados ves a gente de 70-80 años trabajando.
Si ese es el modelo como dices tu que pare este que yo me bajo».

005
Julio
27.09.2014 a las 07:32 Enlace Permanente

Jo macho…ahora Obama.
Los 5 o 6 millones de parados, más los atrapados en empleos atroces, no tenemos remedio.
Si votamos a los de ahora seguiremos como hasta ahora. En la ruina.
Si votamos a los mesiánicos…quien sabe. No me fío de ellos, pero por lo menos quieren probar algo distinto.
Y ahora sales tú, un tío inteligente y quieres imitar a los yankees, con sus ghettos, su desigualdad etc.

Lo dicho. No hay futuro.

006
Luis
27.09.2014 a las 08:44 Enlace Permanente

Pero bueno, se espera más rigurosidad en un economista observador!!! EEUU es unos de los países de Occidente donde más han crecido las desigualdades en las dos últimas tres décadas, un país que está en guerra constante debido a la influencia y el poder del entramado empresarial-militar americano, el país occidental con más presos (que no cuentan como parados) debido a un sistema privado carcelario y a leyes represivas contra la ciudadanía, y la patria del capitalismo de amiguetes (bien denunciado por Stigtliz en «El poder de la desigualdad», libro escrito en 2012 y centrado en EEUU pero que parece que describa la situación española). ¿Eso quiere usted como observador? No dudo de que podamos salvar cosas de EEUU pero lo mismo podemos decir de Ecuador, Venezuela y Bolivia. No sea tan dogmático y sea justo en sus palabras. Las propuestas de Podemos aún se están escribiendo, no puede construir un adversario de paja para después despotricar contra él. Cuando presenten el programa entonces sí. Porque en su actitud muchos empezamos a ver que usted actúa como vocero de un PSOE maquillado, y aunque no sea su intención, como economista observador que dice que es, debería ser más objetivo. Porque el PSOE hasta ahora ha sido el problema (¿le tengo que recordar el giro neoliberal desde el «bajar impuestos es de izquierdas zapateril»?) y no la solución. Un saludo de parte de un ciudadano observador.

007
Alejandro
27.09.2014 a las 09:05 Enlace Permanente

El representante del PSOE y tú mismo habláis de transformar el modelo productivo…bien, lo mismo que empezó a decir Zapatero cuando se vió «con el agua al cuello». ¿De verdad piensas que un partido que ha dejado que España se desindustrialice en un 15-20% en las últimas dos décadas va a solucionar los problemas actuales? La cuestión de la credibilidad es muy importante en estos tiempos y el PSOE sencillamente no la tiene. Digamos que se ha traicionado conscientemente a sí mismo. Y ahora les toca pagar. ¿Eso es democracia no? Pero tranquilo que mientras haya pensionistas acojonados y gente moldeable por los medios de comunicación el cambio no va a ser posible, y eso usted lo sabe muy bien.

008
josan
27.09.2014 a las 15:40 Enlace Permanente

¿De verdad no será posible que una opción nueva y pujante que quiere acabar con un sistema corrupto como es ahora el español, no pueda implementar políticas económicas que modifiquen el status quo capitalista actual ? Los economistas deben hacer sus aportaciones, que para eso se supone que son expertos en la materia, pero tampoco les vendría mal un poco de autocrítica y pensar que los años van pasando y las sociedades del mundo capitalistas son cada vez más desiguales. Si no fuera porque los medios de comunicación dominados por el sistema financiero se empeñan en mostrarnos un mundo irreal, la mayoría de la gente se daría cuenta de que este sistema no ofrece verdaderas soluciones para las personas, solamente oportunidades para enriquecerse más a quienes más tienen.
Tampoco creo que el economista observador deba adoptar una posición «equidistante» entre Podemos y el PP, porque se le ve el plumero de su predilección por el Psoe, y por desgracia, este partido ha perdido toda su credibilidad : no hay cuestión en la que no tenga que callar e irse con el rabo entre las piernas. La gente no confía en ellos.
Dicho lo cual, ánimo José Carlos, eres de los pocos que aporta datos esclarecedores y nos abres los ojos ante tanta desinformación.

009
Juanma
27.09.2014 a las 18:28 Enlace Permanente

Mala cosa, señor Díez, cuando un técnico se mete a político. Sepa usted q

010
Colapso2015
27.09.2014 a las 22:37 Enlace Permanente

Tengo la impresión de que jcdiez es mucho de “los camisas blancas” (estratagema marketing del PSOE). Y en ello nos compara con EEUU, un país el cual tiene de TODO. Materias primas (entre ellas petróleo), espacio en abundancia, moneda de reserva mundial, una oligarquía refrendada por el “american life dream”*, una democracia representativa un tanto degenerada por el sistema electoral, la sexta flota, y muchas otras cosas que los españoles y europeos no tenemos…ni por asomo.

O sea, ir por ahí va ser equivocarse seguro.
España para bien o para mal tiene el futuro unido a Alemania, y no porque Carlos I o V levantase la cabeza, sino por las ansias de Isidoro** de homologarse a los cleptócratas europeos. En eso que llaman “Europa” que de democrático tiene cero. Cuyo precio fue la aniquilación tele-dirigida de sectores clave de la economía española, industria, pesca, agricultura, construcción naval, etc.

Creo que salvo el demócrata Andrew Jackson (“I killed the bank”), nunca la deuda ha sido pagada, de hecho “el bussiness” es que la deuda nunca se paga y el nuevo dinero va para fortalecer las ideas de la clase (unos lo llaman élite, otros aristocracia, otros burócratas, otros corporaciones). En lo que la inflación es una forma de degradación de la sociedad cuando el beneficiado y el perjudicado es previsible, porque en esencia es la legalización del robo (socialismo para ricos). No digo que robar sea malo ni bueno (creencia), solamente que deslegitima el propio sistema (no robarás, no matarás,…).

La cantidad de pufos que se montan con lo de “salvemos a los pobres” (sin trabajo según jcdiez, aunque en los tiempos de hoy no es preciso) escapa a mi limitada memoria. Incluso entre los “angelitos” de Noruega han pillado recientemente al “salvador de los pobres” trincando a millones,…, no es la excepción es la regla. Y eso no es nada comparado con los pufos monetarios privados y públicos asociados a la garrapata estatal (Estado burocrático + élite).

No cabe solución posible, alguien como nosotros con tradición greco-latina y no olvidemos cartaginesa, germana, árabe, y un largo etcétera mezcladillo, que sólo legitima el poder desde la intelectualidad/pensamiento/racionalidad en la democracia. ¿Qué es lo que precisa una democracia?
Solamente controlar el poder en todas sus formas. Incluso el propio poder democrático, el Imperio de la Ley. Los únicos que hablan de democracia en España son los de P-o-demos, para todos los otros parece que esto ya es una democracia sólo “un poco” corrupta.
Desafortunadamente no veo mucho “Sálvame” y por lo tanto no puedo decir si Pedro Sánchez habla de separación de poderes, participación democrática y un proceso constituyente****.
Dado que esto parece no solucionarse, por la automatización del “spanish people”, el sentido común no participa en política, y salen cosas como el “Monedero + Iglesias”, con una ideas un tanto desteñidas. Sin embargo Pedro “El Blanco” habla de seguir repartiendo el pastel,…, territorial en este caso (también conocido como nacionalismo).

Y lo que ha puesto de manifiesto P-o-demos es que no existe tal legitimidad. Si bien por cosas del “fellare” social al poder y status quo, tienden a olvidar cosas como la abstención,…

Una pregunta, ¿si su administrador/Estado le roba? ¿Pide un préstamo para reflotar la empresa y sigue alimentando al administrador con más deuda? O despide y denuncia al administrador y después mira a ver que se puede hacer,…

Cada día me sorprendo más de aquello que llaman “proceso de civilización**” , tal es asi, la gente escucha por la boca y come por los oídos.

* http://www.thisamericanlife.org/radio-archives/episode/536/the-secret-recordings-of-carmen-segarra
** Felipe González el socialista adinerado… (Pujol “no es” corrupto)
***: yo sólo admito el proceso de civilización como algo tecnológico, no social.

011
Mandeo
29.09.2014 a las 10:09 Enlace Permanente

Llamadme tonto si quereis, pero lo que yo entiendo es que tenemos una política económica contrastada que sabemos que funciona (como lo ha hecho en el caso de EEUU)y que no tenemos que terminar con el sistema para arreglarlo, sino simplemente hacer el diagnóstico correcto y aplicar lo que la teoría nos dice y los resultados empíricos nos confirman.
No se trata de convertirnos en EEUU y copiar todos sus defectos, sino de ver sus aciertos y adaptarlos a nuestra realidad.
Todos sasbemos que la creciente desigualdad es un problema muy grave que tenemos que solucionar, pero como muy bien se dice, y aunque la crisis lo haya profundizado, viene produciendose desde hace más de 30 años y por lo tanto es anterior a la propia crisis.
Si mezclamos todo, hacemos el problema más dificil de lo que es.
Primero lo imprescindible, luego lo urgente, despues lo importante….
Y sobre todo moderación. Ya lo decía mi abuelo: «Nin arre que escape, nin xo que se deite» (ni arre que escape y ni so que se acueste»

012
Julián
29.09.2014 a las 10:49 Enlace Permanente

(*1 y*2)Enlaces compartidos y-o relacionados:
(*1)http://isaespi-sotogrande.blogspot.com.es/2014/08/no-lo-vamos-ni-medio-consentir-en.html
(*2)http://www.eldiario.es/economia/EEUU-UE-negocian-comercial-resultado_0_255125159.html

013
Debemos
29.09.2014 a las 11:52 Enlace Permanente

José Carlos, antes que nada decirte que tu labor económico pedagógica me parece loable y que has conseguido acercar y hacer entender a los lectores muchos conceptos resbaladizos de las políticas económicas.
Dicho esto y entendiendo que no pagar la deuda parece anatema en el mundo en que vivimos, cada vez más dominado por los acreedores, habría que hacer algunas consideraciones.
Primero, como sabes un impago de la deuda no es un suceso tan excepcional y ha ocurrido en multitud de ocasiones en la historia no siempre con resultados malos sino a veces con resultados muy satisfactorios
Segundo: tú mismo estás pidiendo una reestructuración de la deuda privada a cargo a fondos públicos europeos. Pero es que precisamente Europa, o Alemania precisamente la representante de la mayor parte de los acreedores, se niega. Si se niega sólo vale negociar con una oferta encima de la mesa. Si aceptan negociar, vale, pero si no es así, la única opción es el impago.
O asumir como normal y habitual niveles de desempleo y precariedad alarmantes para la sociedad. Eso es lo que las élites pretenden que hagamos pero me temo que no es sostenible en el tiempo sin estallidos sociales o cosas peores.

014
Francisco Javier Pérez Martín
29.09.2014 a las 16:54 Enlace Permanente

Querido José Carlos: ¿De dónde sacó Obama tanto dinero? Seamos serios, Podemos no pretende impagar la deuda, sino auditarla ver en qué , a donde ha ido a parar y luego recuperar la deuda odiosa. La deuda que la Administración ha usado para enriquecer a privados. Nada que ver con lo que expones. Y Monedero no tiene por qué ser una lumbrera. Zapatero y Rajoy no lo son y ha presidido y preside el Gobierno de España.Salud.

015
Estilpón
29.09.2014 a las 18:38 Enlace Permanente

Resumen de los críticos:
a) que a Podemos no se le puede criticar (cada uno que escoja su motivo)
b) que auditar la deuda no es impagar (ya, claro…)
c) que USA está peor (esto me recuerda cuando se criticaba el comunismo soviético)
d) que el paro es muy alto (por lo tanto, cualquier cosa diferente no es importante)
e) que si Felipe (…¿quién?)
f) que si de vez en cuando llueve. No tiene nada que ver, pero da igual, casa con la lista.

Ánimo, JC, no estás solo.
Cada vez tengo más miedo al flautista de Hamelín.

016
mirandoalsol
30.09.2014 a las 15:33 Enlace Permanente

Alucino en dos cosas de las varias y variopintas opiniones de aquí, una, ¿qué tiene Podemos que parece que, no se le puede nombrar si no es para besarle el culo? En cuanto haces alguna referencia negativa de ese partido, salen enseguida los sicarios mediáticos de dicho grupo -que parece que se crecen como el robellón en otoño- a ponerse a ladrar, mezclando las churras con las meninas y, la segunda, ¿es que alguien niega que el principal problema para salir de la crisis sea el desempleo? Que bajen el desempleo a los dos millones y veréis como se terminan los contratos basura y los sueldos por debajo de la media Europea, veréis como la sanidad vuelve a la normalidad y las pensiones a su sitio. La corrupción tiene una solución política y es la independencia de la justicia y tod@s iguales ante la ley. Juan Carlos merece todo nuestro respeto por su aportación y soluciones a problemas puntuales, y, desde luego no veo en ningún sitio que avale el sistema político de los EEUU, si un hecho puntual, el empleo.

017
Luis vidal
11.10.2014 a las 16:54 Enlace Permanente

Sobre las críticas que realizan algunos comentaristas aquí sobre JC10 y USA, se caen por sí solas, no hace falta comentarlas.
Me ha gustado una explicación económica de MN sencilla a JC10 sobre el impago de la deuda pública y las inversiones en fondos de pensiones de Grecia y los padres… dice MN algo así a su padre en interpretación mía «que ya te lo había dicho, que meter el dinero en los bancos e intentar ganar dinero sin trabajar es muy peligroso y lo puedes perder», y tiene toda la razón. Sería la primera lección en economía financiera rentabilidad-liquidez-seguridad. Que hubiese invertido en ladrillo, es decir, en algo que vale en sí mismo. ¿Alguien se cree de verdad que una empresa te puede asegurar al 100 % que el dinero que le entregues ahora te lo va a devolver dentro de 40 años con intereses? El riesgo es consustancial a la inversión financiera. La economía productiva es la base de la riqueza real. Eso es cierto.

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23.10.2014 a las 07:36 Enlace Permanente

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