Abenomics: Episodio IX

Escrito a las 9:16 pm

El primer ministro de Japón, Shinzo Abe, ha convocado elecciones adelantadas. La revisión del PIB tras una fuerte caída ha precipitado todo. El dato fue malo pero no tan malo como se ha contado. El consumo privado creció un 1,5% trimestral anualizado y las exportaciones un 5%. Han sido la inversión residencial y los inventarios los que han hundido el PIB. Tras anunciar su plan Abenomics, el primer ministro japonés consiguió depreciar con fuerza el tipo de cambio y expandir las ventas de las empresas y el empleo.

Pero en 2014 la economía se ha vuelto a frenar. El PIB está estancado desde el cuarto trimestre de 2013. En el primer trimestre de 2014 creció mucho por el anticipo de compras antes de la subida del IVA y en el segundo trimestre se desplomó. En ese periodo, las empresas produjeron más de lo que consiguieron vender. Por eso en el tercer trimestre han dejado de producir para vender sus stocks de inventarios y el PIB ha caído. Mal dato sin duda, pero hay que destacar que las ventas de las empresas han crecido.

Lo más curioso es ver que, tres décadas después de comenzar la crisis japonesa, el personal sigue sin entenderla. Sacar la conclusión de que como Abenomics no ha funcionado en Japón, el BCE no debe comprar bonos y monetizarlos es como confundir el tocino con la velocidad.

Diapositiva1

En el gráfico he dibujado el PIB nominal de Japón con datos anuales del FMI desde 1980. Se observa cómo durante la burbuja de los años ochenta el PIB se dobló. Luego tuvo un periodo de estancamiento secular hasta 1998 y luego la crisis asiática y la fuerte depreciación de sus competidores de la zona hundieron a Japón en la deflación. El PIB nominal nipón en 2013 se situó en el mismo nivel que en 1991, cuando estalló la burbuja inmobiliaria y bursátil.

En rojo he dibujado cuál habría sido la senda de crecimiento potencial, asumiendo un crecimiento real del 1% y un objetivo de inflación del 2%, lo cual daría un PIB nominal del 3%. Aquí se observa el problema de estas crisis. Si cuando la economía descarrila, no se actúa con celeridad y contundencia, entra en estancamiento secular, deflación y se aleja significativamente de la senda de equilibrio.

En Japón, el PIB nominal debería ser en la actualidad un 50% superior al registrado. Entonces sus ratios de deuda no serían tan escandalosamente altos y hace años que habría cerrado el déficit público por aumento de ingresos y no por reducción de gastos, que genera más deflación y más depresión.

La reacción en Europa no sólo de gobiernos, sino de medios de comunicación, economistas y analistas hace ser a este economista observador un poco más pesimista sobre la solución de la crisis del Euro. Y el G20 ha sido la enésima muestra de negación de la realidad de los gobiernos europeos. En España ya estamos japonizados, seguimos sin sanear el sistema bancario y estabilizar el crédito y dejando que el virus de la deflación avance a toda velocidad. Esta semana he hablado con una empresa de refrescos, una gran superficie, una editorial y una empresa de salud y a las cuatro les están cayendo las ventas en euros.

Pero Rajoy está contento y ha invitado otra vez a Merkel a España en 2015. El PSOE sigue sin presentar un programa económico alternativo. Y Podemos cambia el suyo de las europeas que han defendido con vehemencia ante este economista observador por un “boceto” de programa del que hoy mismo en Cuatro TV su número 2 sigue sin responder a ninguna pregunta concreta que le he planteado. Como Rajoy en la campaña de 2011, Iglesias vendió promesas que ya han incumplido y siguen ocultando su verdadero programa. No sé si por desconocimiento o para no asustar mucho a sus votantes.

Sayonara



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44 comentarios

001
Ingeniero
18.11.2014 a las 21:54 Enlace Permanente

Andrew Mellon, el que fuera secretario del Tesoro con Hoover le decía a este que nada de intervenir en la economía, que esta se autorregulaba gracias al milagro de la mano invisible y que la depresión incluso sería positiva, “Liquidate labor, liquidate stocks, liquidate the farmers, liquidate real estate”, que había que purgar el sistema y que la gente viviría con más moralidad y trabajaría más duro, “it will purge the rottenness out of the system. High cost of living and high living will come down. People will work harder, live a more moral life. Values will be adjusted, and enterprising people will pick up the wrecks from less competent people”. Así se hicieron famosos los “hoovervilles”, barrios marginales, de chabolismo y pobreza…

En Europa llevamos desde el 2008 repitiendo ese disparate de los años 30 y aquí el PP aplaude con las orejas. Decía el cantautor argentino Jorge Cafrune que la sangre tiene razones que hacen engordar las venas; cuando eso ocurre en los pueblos alumbran los “Podemos” como agua fresca y clara que traerá el “hombre nuevo”…Después no valen las lamentaciones ni las sorpresas.

002
Pedro L. Egea
18.11.2014 a las 22:38 Enlace Permanente

No puedo estar más de acuerdo con este post, máxime cuando conocí Japón en el ecuador de los 80 a los 90 y he seguido lo ocurrido posteriormente en este país con suma atención. No somos conscientes de lo que nos espera si no adoptamos las medidas adecuadas, no solo en España sino en toda Europa. Esta es la hora del progreso, no de la depresión; pero parece que se ha decidido renunciar a ello, ¿será que los detentadores del poder ya tienen resuelto su enriquecimiento en otros países?

003
Mario, Tenerife
19.11.2014 a las 10:37 Enlace Permanente

Pero Japon lleva 9 años con descenso de su poblacion. Las muertes ya superan a los naciemientos+inmigracion. Supongo que este dato debe tenerse en cuenta a la hora de dar valor a su tasa de crecimiento del PIB. Si no crece la poblacion no veo por que debe crecer el PIB. No parece necesario

Esto, junto con que su tasa de paro no ha subido de 6% en las ultimas decadas, y que la diferencia entre ricos y pobres casi no existe, hace de este pais una sociedad envidiable.

Ademas, tengo entendido que su enorme deuda publica es equivalente a su ahorro como pais. Vamos, que los tenedores de su deuda publica son sus propios ciudadanos.

La comparacion con España es imposible. Nuestro paro es muy elevado (el juvenil espantoso), nuestra deuda publica esta en manos de extranjeros, nuestra poblacion ha crecido muchisimo por la inmigracion (nuestra tasa de fecundidad en ridicula, de esclavitud)y por tanto necesitamos que nuetro PIB aumente en consonancia, ¡nuestras diferencias entre ricos y pobres es gravisima, etc etc

Y si lo queremos comparar con la UE, simplemente no es posible, pues la UE no es ni de lejos una unidad administrativa.

004
Julio
19.11.2014 a las 12:31 Enlace Permanente

Siempre criticando lo mal que va un país, lo bien que va otro (no lo digo en concreto por Ud. Jose Carlos), pero siempre tomando como referencia el dato del PIB. Un dato aséptico que puede esconder más de lo evidencia.
En concreto, ¿como puede darse España golpes en el pecho porque nuestro PIB esté creciendo un 0,5% trimestral con nuestra tasa de paro?
¿O con nuestro ridículo salario medio?
¿O con nuestro dato de afiliaciones a la SS? (con dos millones de afiliados menos que al principio de la crisis)

Esto del PIB subiendo y bajando es un dato indirecto que sólo entusiasma a los verdaderos dueños del sistema, las grandes empresas y sobre todo los grandes fondos, que son los que cortan el balao. Mientras, la gente que sufre, la que malvive y la que va tirando ve como su vida lejos de mejorar empeora. Y con el PIB subiendo. Que alegría.

005
Capossela
19.11.2014 a las 15:25 Enlace Permanente

Pues en 2012 este economista observador decía lo siguiente:

ver minuto 5:20, en una entrevista con Anita Pastor: http://youtu.be/XYIpmACqcO0

“…se tenía que haber cambiado la política fiscal europea, hacer una intervención masiva del Banco Central Europeo para estabilizar los mercados, REESTRUCTURAR LAS DEUDAS QUE NO SE PUEDEN PAGAR, Y QUE GRECIA NO VA A PAGAR, y seguramente parte de la deuda irlandesa y portuguesa no se va a pagar, y hacer un plan de recapitalización de toda la banca europea para que cuando esas deudas no se paguen se meta capital en la banca, porque ahora los alemanes en breve van a descubrir que la deuda es de los españoles pero el problema es de ellos que han comprado los bonos”.

Jose Carlo Díez, un economista bolivariano.

006
Capossela
20.11.2014 a las 09:06 Enlace Permanente

Thoma Piketty responde así:

(Pregunta) No son pocos los que piensan que, en lugar de más integración, lo razonable sería retornar a las monedas nacionales.

(Respuesta de Piketty)
“No, para mí no es la buena solución. Ahora bien, si no se proponen alternativas rápidamente creo que el retorno a las monedas nacionales será un escenario cada vez más difícil de descartar. Concretamente, la única respuesta que se ha dado en Francia a aquellos que quieren salir del euro consiste en decirles que es imposible, que está prohibido, que ahora que hemos entrado ya no se puede dar marcha atrás… Esta respuesta es extraordinariamente débil y no va a aguantar mucho tiempo más.

La salida a la crisis radica en avanzar en la unión de los países de la zona euro. En cierto modo, la peor de las situaciones es la actual porque hemos perdido la posibilidad de devaluar la moneda, hemos perdido soberanía monetaria nacional y a cambio tendríamos que haber ganado nuevas formas de soberanía fiscal y presupuestaria, mayor capacidad para recaudar impuestos de manera más justa, mayor capacidad de resistencia para protegernos frente al riesgo de especulación sobre los tipos de interés de la deuda pública. Hasta ahora Francia y Alemania han ganado en este juego, pero la única alternativa a la salida del euro es una unión de la deuda, una unión fiscal. Si no nos damos prisa, creo que las fuerzas políticas en favor de la salida del euro terminarán por ganar la partida.”

Si la única alternativa a la salida del euro es la unión de la deuda, una unión fiscal (y social) entonces vayámonos preparando para la salida del euro porque lo otro no va a pasar. La UE se diseñó para beneficiar a unas élites económico-financieras, por eso se empezó la casa por el tejado. De lo contrario se hubiera apostado por una unión fiscal desde el principio, con un BCE público, independiente y solidario con las regiones en dificultad, como en EEUU, Japón o Inglaterra. Todo lo demás son estupideces que nos llevarán a más miseria y a más violencia.

008
Mario, Tenerife
21.11.2014 a las 22:04 Enlace Permanente

Muy interesante “Caminante”, eso que has puesto de Soddy. Eso de la ‘Propaganda por el control privado del poder monetario”, la relacion entre economia y termodinamica, etc.

Pero no creo que la banca cree el dinero, sino la “bolsa de valores”, pues su “ingenieria” de productos y valores ficticios en constante aumento es una fabrica de riqueza virtual, abstracta, falsa, etc, pero es dinero igualmente poderoso.

009
fedor
23.11.2014 a las 23:38 Enlace Permanente

Una perlita de este “gran economista”
En 2009, Díez aseguró que el mercado inmobiliario ya se había reordenado y había superado el pinchazo de 2007 y 2008. Según el economista, “los mercados ajustan por precios o cantidades, y el de vivienda ya lo ha hecho. En 2010 veremos a la demanda embalsada volver al mercado. Los precios se estabilizarán y subiránlentamente hasta que se absorba el exceso de oferta. Luego volveremos a ver un “boom” y volveremos a hablar de burbujas”.
Ese mismo año, el economista observador insistía en que “nuestra burbuja ya ha pinchado” y señalaba que “la demanda de viviendas ya está repuntando”, debido a que “los precios están próximos al suelo y nuestro sistema bancario resiste y ha sido el único de los principales países que no ha necesitado recapitalizaciones con dinero de los contribuyentes”.
Díez hablaba entonces del sistema financiero señalando que “sigue con ratios de solvencia elevados”. El economista decía “basta ya” a quienes “demonizan” a las cajas de ahorro, afirmando que algunas de estas entidades “tienen una gestión envidiable”, gracias a directivos que “podrían dar clases magistrales” en las escuelas de negocios de Londres.
Refiriéndose al periodo 2008-2009
, Díez insistió en que “el gobierno y el Banco de España no estuvieron tocando la guitarra desde el comienzo de la crisis” sino que, “como la cigarra de la fábula de Samaniego”, los equipos de Zapatero y Fernández Ordoñez “han sido las hormiguitas que han estado trabajando todo el verano para abastecerse el duro invierno”. Díez entendía entonces que España tenía “el sistema bancario más capitalizado del planeta”, y destacaba que “no sería posible contar la historia de nuestro Pura Sangre español sin contar con un sistema bancario tan eficiente”.
Díez también se refirió a la economía española como un Pura Sangreen 2007, año que sirvió de preludio para la crisis que seguimos sufriendo en 2013. Entonces, el “economista observador” aseguró que la “burbuja inmobiliaria”, “baja productividad” e “insostenibilidad del déficit por cuenta corriente” no eran problemas reales sino mitos que convenía aclarar.
“Atendiendo a la evidencia empírica, hay que ser prudentemente optimista y apostar a ganador por nuestro Pura Sangre”, explicaba Díez meses antes del desplome de la economía española. El “economista observador” entendía entonces que los tipos y las primas de riesgo mundiales seguían favoreciendo “un modelo de crecimiento tan apalancado como el nuestro”.
Díez también afirmó lo siguiente: “Los economistas hemos contribuido al mito de la burbuja inmobiliaria. Existen fundamentos de oferta y demanda que permiten descartar la existencia de una gran burbuja. El desajuste de oferta se tendrá que corregir (…) pero eso no significa que (…) el pinchazo vaya a tener efectos devastadores sobre la economía real y el resto de los sectores”.
El Pura Sangre español se caracterizaba, según Díez, por tener “lo mejor de los países desarrollados y lo mejor de los emergentes”. El economista entendía que España “no tiene un problema de escasez de ahorro” y que, el crecimiento económico para 2008, 2009 y 2010 se mantendría “por encima del 3,5% hasta 2010”. Además, negaba que el déficit por cuenta corriente reflejase la “pérdida de competitividad” de nuestra economía.

010
fedor
23.11.2014 a las 23:40 Enlace Permanente

Diez y el pura sangre español… Deberia darle verguenza despues de decir estas sandeces criticar a nadie…

En 2009, Díez aseguró que el mercado inmobiliario ya se había reordenado y había superado el pinchazo de 2007 y 2008. Según el economista, “los mercados ajustan por precios o cantidades, y el de vivienda ya lo ha hecho. En 2010 veremos a la demanda embalsada volver al mercado. Los precios se estabilizarán y subiránlentamente hasta que se absorba el exceso de oferta. Luego volveremos a ver un “boom” y volveremos a hablar de burbujas”.
Ese mismo año, el economista observador insistía en que “nuestra burbuja ya ha pinchado” y señalaba que “la demanda de viviendas ya está repuntando”, debido a que “los precios están próximos al suelo y nuestro sistema bancario resiste y ha sido el único de los principales países que no ha necesitado recapitalizaciones con dinero de los contribuyentes”.
Díez hablaba entonces del sistema financiero señalando que “sigue con ratios de solvencia elevados”. El economista decía “basta ya” a quienes “demonizan” a las cajas de ahorro, afirmando que algunas de estas entidades “tienen una gestión envidiable”, gracias a directivos que “podrían dar clases magistrales” en las escuelas de negocios de Londres.
Refiriéndose al periodo 2008-2009
, Díez insistió en que “el gobierno y el Banco de España no estuvieron tocando la guitarra desde el comienzo de la crisis” sino que, “como la cigarra de la fábula de Samaniego”, los equipos de Zapatero y Fernández Ordoñez “han sido las hormiguitas que han estado trabajando todo el verano para abastecerse el duro invierno”. Díez entendía entonces que España tenía “el sistema bancario más capitalizado del planeta”, y destacaba que “no sería posible contar la historia de nuestro Pura Sangre español sin contar con un sistema bancario tan eficiente”.
Díez también se refirió a la economía española como un Pura Sangreen 2007, año que sirvió de preludio para la crisis que seguimos sufriendo en 2013. Entonces, el “economista observador” aseguró que la “burbuja inmobiliaria”, “baja productividad” e “insostenibilidad del déficit por cuenta corriente” no eran problemas reales sino mitos que convenía aclarar.
“Atendiendo a la evidencia empírica, hay que ser prudentemente optimista y apostar a ganador por nuestro Pura Sangre”, explicaba Díez meses antes del desplome de la economía española. El “economista observador” entendía entonces que los tipos y las primas de riesgo mundiales seguían favoreciendo “un modelo de crecimiento tan apalancado como el nuestro”.
Díez también afirmó lo siguiente: “Los economistas hemos contribuido al mito de la burbuja inmobiliaria. Existen fundamentos de oferta y demanda que permiten descartar la existencia de una gran burbuja. El desajuste de oferta se tendrá que corregir (…) pero eso no significa que (…) el pinchazo vaya a tener efectos devastadores sobre la economía real y el resto de los sectores”.
El Pura Sangre español se caracterizaba, según Díez, por tener “lo mejor de los países desarrollados y lo mejor de los emergentes”. El economista entendía que España “no tiene un problema de escasez de ahorro” y que, el crecimiento económico para 2008, 2009 y 2010 se mantendría “por encima del 3,5% hasta 2010”. Además, negaba que el déficit por cuenta corriente reflejase la “pérdida de competitividad” de nuestra economía.

011
German
24.11.2014 a las 08:30 Enlace Permanente

José Carlos espera un poco ha que lo terminen los profesores Vicent Navarro y Juan Torres y ya puedas debatir con ellos sobre el programa económico, saludos.

012
Franco Forte
24.11.2014 a las 13:56 Enlace Permanente

El elefante en el salón y que no se menciona es el Gran Vecino. Entre Corea y China han paralizado a Japón y de paso a Europa. Ahí está la raíz del problema que nos aflije. Ni curvas ni citas biensonantes. Y ya que el PIB está cada día mas discutido quizás el HDI dela ONU refleje mejor la felecidad de la gente.En los últimos 15 años nuestra querida España ha perdido 16 puestos mientras Italia, sin boom, solo 5. En Latam los numeros pondrán a algunos al borde del ataque de nervios: Cuba gana 38 posiciones, solo detrás de Chile. La conservadora-liberal Colombia pierde 47 posiciones. La odiada Venezuela pierde un poco menos que la aperturista México. Sólo ganan Cuba, Panamá y algo Perú. Van a tener razón los chavales de Somosaguas.

013
Erwin
24.11.2014 a las 14:04 Enlace Permanente

Cuidado con lamentarse del Japon…. imaginemos España dentro de 10 años, al mismo nivel de renta per capita que en 2007, con un desempleo moderado tambien como el 2007, con una distribucion razonable de la renta, con una España que contara -como Japon- con uno de los mejores sistemas educativos y una alta cohesion social…. nos estariamos quejando? Para un pais con una poblacion que disminuye y que se hace mayor, el poder mantener un elevado nivel de vida pese a la crisis mundial, es ese un fracaso? Yo creo que Japon tiene mucho de donde aprender! El paradigma del crecimiento eterno de la economia tiene validez mas que dudosa.

014
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29.11.2014 a las 08:02 Enlace Permanente

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{It’s|It is} {lovely|pretty|beautiful} {worth|value|price} {enough|sufficient} for me.

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{Saved as a favorite|bookmarked!!}, {I really like|I like|I love} {your blog|your site|your
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Hi, {I do believe|I do think} {this is an excellent|this is a great} {blog|website|web site|site}.

I stumbledupon it 😉 {I will|I am going to|I’m going to|I may} {come back|return|revisit} {once again|yet again} {since I|since
i have} {bookmarked|book marked|book-marked|saved as a favorite} it.
Money and freedom {is the best|is the greatest} way to change,
may you be rich and continue to {help|guide} {other people|others}.|
Woah! I’m really {loving|enjoying|digging} the template/theme of this {site|website|blog}.
It’s simple, yet effective. A lot of times it’s {very hard|very difficult|challenging|tough|difficult|hard} to get that “perfect balance” between {superb usability|user friendliness|usability} and {visual appearance|visual appeal|appearance}.
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this. {In addition|Additionally|Also}, the blog loads {very|extremely|super} {fast|quick} for me on {Safari|Internet explorer|Chrome|Opera|Firefox}.
{Superb|Exceptional|Outstanding|Excellent} Blog!|
These are {really|actually|in fact|truly|genuinely} {great|enormous|impressive|wonderful|fantastic} ideas
in {regarding|concerning|about|on the topic of} blogging.
You have touched some {nice|pleasant|good|fastidious} {points|factors|things} here.
Any way keep up wrinting.|
{I love|I really like|I enjoy|I like|Everyone loves} what you guys {are|are usually|tend to be} up too.
{This sort of|This type of|Such|This kind of} clever work and {exposure|coverage|reporting}!
Keep up the {superb|terrific|very good|great|good|awesome|fantastic|excellent|amazing|wonderful} works guys
I’ve {incorporated||added|included} you guys to {|my|our||my personal|my own} blogroll.|
{Howdy|Hi there|Hey there|Hi|Hello|Hey}! Someone in my {Myspace|Facebook} group shared
this {site|website} with us so I came to {give it a look|look it over|take a look|check it
out}. I’m definitely {enjoying|loving} the information. I’m {book-marking|bookmarking} and will
be tweeting this to my followers! {Terrific|Wonderful|Great|Fantastic|Outstanding|Exceptional|Superb|Excellent} blog and {wonderful|terrific|brilliant|amazing|great|excellent|fantastic|outstanding|superb} {style and design|design and style|design}.|
{I love|I really like|I enjoy|I like|Everyone loves} what you
guys {are|are usually|tend to be} up too. {This sort of|This type of|Such|This kind
of} clever work and {exposure|coverage|reporting}! Keep up the {superb|terrific|very good|great|good|awesome|fantastic|excellent|amazing|wonderful} works guys I’ve {incorporated|added|included} you guys to {|my|our|my personal|my own}
blogroll.|
{Howdy|Hi there|Hey there|Hi|Hello|Hey} would you mind {stating|sharing} which blog platform you’re {working with|using}?

I’m {looking|planning|going} to start my own blog
{in the near future|soon} but I’m having a {tough|difficult|hard}
time {making a decision|selecting|choosing|deciding} between BlogEngine/Wordpress/B2evolution and Drupal.

The reason I ask is because your {design and style|design|layout}
seems different then most blogs and I’m looking for something {completely unique|unique}.

P.S {My apologies|Apologies|Sorry} for {getting|being} off-topic but I had to ask!|
{Howdy|Hi there|Hi|Hey there|Hello|Hey} would you mind letting me know which {webhost|hosting company|web host} you’re {utilizing|working with|using}?
I’ve loaded your blog in 3 {completely different|different} {internet browsers|web
browsers|browsers} and I must say this blog loads a lot {quicker|faster} then most.
Can you {suggest|recommend} a good {internet hosting|web hosting|hosting} provider at
a {honest|reasonable|fair} price? {Thanks
a lot|Kudos|Cheers|Thank you|Many thanks|Thanks}, I appreciate it!|
{I love|I really like|I like|Everyone loves} it {when people|when individuals|when folks|whenever people} {come
together|get together} and share {opinions|thoughts|views|ideas}.
Great {blog|website|site}, {keep it up|continue the good work|stick with it}!|
Thank you for the {auspicious|good} writeup. It in fact was
a amusement account it. Look advanced to {far|more} added agreeable from you!
{By the way|However}, how {can|could} we communicate?|
{Howdy|Hi there|Hey there|Hello|Hey} just wanted to give you a quick heads up.
The {text|words} in your {content|post|article} seem to be running off the screen in {Ie|Internet explorer|Chrome|Firefox|Safari|Opera}.
I’m not sure if this is a {format|formatting} issue or something
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let you know. The {style and design|design and style|layout|design} look great though!
Hope you get the {problem|issue} {solved|resolved|fixed}
soon. {Kudos|Cheers|Many thanks|Thanks}|
This is a topic {that is|that’s|which is} {close to|near to} my heart…
{Cheers|Many thanks|Best wishes|Take care|Thank you}!
{Where|Exactly where} are your contact details though?|
It’s very {easy|simple|trouble-free|straightforward|effortless} to find out any {topic|matter} on {net|web} as compared to {books|textbooks}, as I
found this {article|post|piece of writing|paragraph} at this {website|web
site|site|web page}.|
Does your {site|website|blog} have a contact page? I’m having {a tough
time|problems|trouble} locating it but, I’d like to {send|shoot} you
an {e-mail|email}. I’ve got some {creative ideas|recommendations|suggestions|ideas} for your
blog you might be interested in hearing. Either way, great {site|website|blog} and I look forward to seeing it {develop|improve|expand|grow} over time.|
{Hola|Hey there|Hi|Hello|Greetings}! I’ve been {following|reading} your
{site|web site|website|weblog|blog} for {a long time|a while|some time} now and finally got the
{bravery|courage} to go ahead and give you a shout out from {New Caney|Kingwood|Huffman|Porter|Houston|Dallas|Austin|Lubbock|Humble|Atascocita} {Tx|Texas}!
Just wanted to {tell you|mention|say} keep up the {fantastic|excellent|great|good} {job|work}!|
Greetings from {Idaho|Carolina|Ohio|Colorado|Florida|Los angeles|California}!
I’m {bored to tears|bored to death|bored} at work so I decided to {check out|browse}
your {site|website|blog} on my iphone during lunch
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{Anyhow|Anyways}, {awesome|amazing|very good|superb|good|wonderful|fantastic|excellent|great} {site|blog}!|
Its {like you|such as you} {read|learn} my {mind|thoughts}!

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{a bit|a little bit}, {however|but} {other than|instead of} that, {this is|that is} {great|wonderful|fantastic|magnificent|excellent} blog.
{A great|An excellent|A fantastic} read. {I’ll|I will} {definitely|certainly} be back.|
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audio {quality|feature} for audio songs {current|present|existing}
at this {website|web site|site|web page} is {really|actually|in fact|truly|genuinely} {marvelous|wonderful|excellent|fabulous|superb}.|
{Howdy|Hi there|Hi|Hello}, i read your blog
{occasionally|from time to time} and i own a
similar one and i was just {wondering|curious} if you get a lot of spam {comments|responses|feedback|remarks}?

If so how do you {prevent|reduce|stop|protect against}
it, any plugin or anything you can {advise|suggest|recommend}?
I get so much lately it’s driving me {mad|insane|crazy} so any
{assistance|help|support} is very much appreciated.|
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{It is the|It’s the} little changes {that make|which will make|that produce|that
will make} {the biggest|the largest|the greatest|the
most important|the most significant} changes. {Thanks a lot|Thanks|Many thanks} for sharing!|
{I really|I truly|I seriously|I absolutely} love {your blog|your site|your website}..
{Very nice|Excellent|Pleasant|Great} colors & theme.
Did you {create|develop|make|build} {this website|this site|this web site|this amazing
site} yourself? Please reply back as I’m {looking to|trying to|planning to|wanting
to|hoping to|attempting to} create {my own|my very own|my own personal} {blog|website|site} and {would like to|want to|would love to} {know|learn|find out} where you got this from or {what
the|exactly what the|just what the} theme {is called|is named}.
{Thanks|Many thanks|Thank you|Cheers|Appreciate it|Kudos}!|
{Hi there|Hello there|Howdy}! This {post|article|blog
post} {couldn’t|could not} be written {any better|much better}!
{Reading through|Looking at|Going through|Looking through} this {post|article} reminds me of my previous roommate!
He {always|constantly|continually} kept {talking about|preaching about} this.
{I will|I’ll|I am going to|I most certainly will} {forward|send} {this
article|this information|this post} to him. {Pretty sure|Fairly certain} {he will|he’ll|he’s going to} {have a
good|have a very good|have a great} read. {Thank you for|Thanks for|Many thanks for|I appreciate you for}
sharing!|
{Wow|Whoa|Incredible|Amazing}! This blog looks {exactly|just} like my old one!
It’s on a {completely|entirely|totally} different {topic|subject}
but it has pretty much the same {layout|page layout} and design. {Excellent|Wonderful|Great|Outstanding|Superb}
choice of colors!|
{There is|There’s} {definately|certainly}
{a lot to|a great deal to} {know about|learn about|find out about} this {subject|topic|issue}.
{I like|I love|I really like} {all the|all of the} points {you made|you’ve made|you have
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{You made|You’ve made|You have made} some
{decent|good|really good} points there. I
{looked|checked} {on the internet|on the web|on the net} {for more info|for more information|to find out more|to learn more|for additional information} about the issue and found {most individuals|most people} will
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{Hi|Hello|Hi there|What’s up}, I {log on to|check|read} your {new stuff|blogs|blog} {regularly|like every week|daily|on a regular basis}.
Your {story-telling|writing|humoristic} style is {awesome|witty}, keep {doing what you’re
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Keep on posting!|
{Hi there|Hello}, I enjoy reading {all of|through} your {article|post|article post}.
I {like|wanted} to write a little comment to support you.|
I {always|constantly|every time} spent my half an hour to read this {blog|weblog|webpage|website|web site}’s
{articles|posts|articles or reviews|content} {everyday|daily|every day|all the
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My {coder|programmer|developer} is trying to {persuade|convince} me to move
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I have heard {fantastic|very good|excellent|great|good} things
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{Any kind of|Any} help would be {really|greatly} appreciated!|
{Hello|Hi|Hello there|Hi there|Howdy|Good day}!
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{Terrific|Great|Wonderful} {article|work}! {This is|That is}
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{Thank you|Thanks} =)|
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{Other than that|Apart from that|Besides that|Aside
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{A person|Someone|Somebody} {necessarily|essentially} {lend a hand|help|assist} to make {seriously|critically|significantly|severely} {articles|posts}
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{I will be|I’ll be|I am} {coming back to|returning to} {your blog|your site|your website|your web site} for more soon.|
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Thanks a lot.|
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{I have|I’ve} bookmarked it in my google bookmarks.
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{A lot of|Lots of|Many|Numerous} {other folks|folks|other people|people} {will be|shall be|might
be|will probably be|can be|will likely be} benefited {from your|out of your}
writing. Cheers!|
{I am|I’m} curious to find out what blog {system|platform}
{you have been|you happen to be|you are|you’re} {working with|utilizing|using}?
I’m {experiencing|having} some {minor|small} security {problems|issues} with my
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{I am|I’m} {extremely|really} impressed with your writing skills
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{blog|weblog} like this one {these days|nowadays|today}..|
{Hi|Hello}, Neat post. {There is|There’s} {a problem|an issue}
{with your|together with your|along with your} {site|web site|website} in {internet|web} explorer, {may|might|could|would} {check|test} this?
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and {a large|a good|a big|a huge} {part of|section of|component to|portion of|component
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will {leave out|omit|miss|pass over} your {great|wonderful|fantastic|magnificent|excellent} writing {due to|because of} this problem.|
{I’m|I am} not sure where {you are|you’re} getting your {info|information},
but {good|great} topic. I needs to spend some time learning {more|much more} or understanding more.
Thanks for {great|wonderful|fantastic|magnificent|excellent} {information|info} I was looking for this {information|info} for my mission.|
{Hi|Hello}, i think that i saw you visited my {blog|weblog|website|web site|site} {so|thus} i came
to “return the favor”.{I am|I’m} {trying to|attempting to} find things to {improve|enhance} my {website|site|web site}!I suppose its ok
to use {some of|a few of} you\

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