Catalunya Banc: mentiras, desahucios y despilfarro para el contribuyente

Escrito a las 9:10 am

Rajoy celebró la salida del rescate y dijo que la banca española estaba saneada y que no metería más dinero público. Es lo mismo que dijo en 2011 y lleva más de 100.000 millones de euros metidos en la banca. Ahora de nuevo vuelve a meter dinero sin explicarlo y de tapadillo en Catalunya Banc. He escuchado la entrevista a De Guindos en La Ser y no he podido soportar la indignación. El ministro ha dicho que gracias al rescate de la banca nos hemos ahorrado 14.000 millones de euros en pago de intereses y ha ocultado de nuevo la realidad de Catalunya Banc que ha explicado como un éxito.

Con tanta propaganda gubernamental y un gobierno tan populista conviene reconstruir los hechos. En febrero de 2012, De Guindos aprobó un decreto que exigía a la banca provisionar pérdidas en su exposición al crédito promotor. Según el ministro y el presidente Rajoy, los 50.000 millones de euros de capital que eran necesarios se iban a lograr por los propios beneficios de los bancos, sin necesidad de un euro de dinero público.

Los inversores internacionales, aterrados, vendieron masivamente acciones y bonos de nuestros bancos y aquello precipitó el rescate de la economía española. En marzo de 2012, el BCE ofreció una subasta extraordinaria de liquidez y el Estado podría haber financiado fácilmente en los mercados los 40.000 millones de euros del rescate bancario. ¿Qué habría sucedido si lo hubiera hecho? Nos habríamos ahorrado poner al euro al borde de la ruptura en julio de 2012 y entonces sí nos habríamos ahorrado miles de millones en pago de intereses y, lo más importante, no se habrían destruido un millón de empleos en 2012 y 2013.

El caso más escandaloso, junto con Bankia, es el de Catalunya Banc. En febrero de 2012, según Rajoy y De Guindos no necesitaba capital público. En julio la Troika nos recomendó, con buen criterio, liquidarla, proteger los depósitos y venderla por partes. Rajoy y De Guindos se negaron y metieron unos 11.000 millones de euros para tapar el agujero que fueron a déficit público y le traspasó a la Sareb toda la cartera de créditos y activos tóxicos de promotor. De Guindos en la entrevista por primera vez reconoce que ese dinero se ha perdido para siempre.

Además de ese saneamiento metió 1.800 millones de euros de capital nuevo en la caja nacionalizada en diciembre de 2012. 1,5 años después vende la caja por 1.200 millones de euros a BBVA que ha exigido un seguro de 600 millones por reclamaciones judiciales de preferentes. O sea la venta puede quedarse en 600 millones. De Guindos ha perdido más de la mitad del dinero invertido por los españoles y encima tiene la desfachatez de decirnos que la venta es un éxito. Pero para comprar la caja BBVA exigía sacarle la cartera de hipotecas tóxicas. La cartera con 6.400 millones estaba valorada en el balance de 2013 a unos 5.000 millones, restando las provisiones.

Rajoy y De Guindos han vendido esa cartera a un fondo buitre por 3.600 millones. Si la aritmética no le falla a este economista observador la caja ha perdido unos 2.000 millones desde 2013 y estaba técnicamente quebrada por segunda vez. El caso es equivalente al de Rato en Bankia. Cuando llegó, los créditos tóxicos que quebraron la caja ya estaban concedido por Blesa. Pero Rato firmó las cuentas que luego resultaron no reflejar la imagen fiel del patrimonio y con las que sacaron la caja a Bolsa.

Ahora es el FROB el que ha firmado las cuentas de 2013. En esas cuentas decían que la morosidad hipotecaria después de reclasificar refinanciaciones, como nos exigió la Troika, era inferior al 20%. El ministro en la radio ha dicho que era próxima al 40%. Es increíble que se reconozca ocultación de pérdidas por parte de un ministro sin dar más explicaciones inmediatamente en sede parlamentaria.

Además, Rajoy sigue mostrando su extrema insensibilidad ante la pobreza y el sufrimiento de la sociedad, en parte provocado por él y sus políticas. Si la caja tiene un 40% de mora, aplicando mi propuesta de banco bueno, traspasando la cartera a un banco público (Sareb u otro nuevo) y negociando quitas con las familias directamente, los españoles nos podríamos haber ahorrado unos 1.000 millones de coste en el saneamiento y habríamos evitado los desahucios y el sufrimiento de miles de familias en la pobreza. Rajoy ha decidido vendérselo a un fondo buitre representado por un amiguete.

Catalunya Banc tenía la peor cartera de hipotecas del sistema. Pero si el Banco de España y el FROB han consentido embalsar mora ¿por qué nos vamos a creer la mora hipotecaria del conjunto del sistema? Tras destruir el 20% del empleo desde 2007 y teniendo en cuenta que la mayor parte de esos desempleados ya han perdido la prestación, decir que la mora de hipotecas es del 6% es un insulto a la inteligencia. Mi plan de banco bueno de hipotecas se acabará haciendo. Pero cuanto más se tarde, más coste para los contribuyentes y más sufrimiento para miles de familias que serán desahuciadas.

En el otro extremo está Podemos y la PAH que defienden no meter dinero público en los bancos y aplicar dación en pago con carácter retroactivo. La Plataforma ha hecho una encomiable labor ayudando a miles de familias que iban a ser desahuciadas y consiguiendo que la sociedad fuera consciente de un verdadero drama que el Gobierno por todos los medios intenta ocultar. Pero sus propuestas tendrían efectos desastrosos y provocarían más destrucción de empleo, más pobreza y más infelicidad. En Catalunya Banc, que ya era público, que todos los españoles nos quedemos con unas casas que no se pueden vender y que tardaríamos años en liquidar, tendría un coste el doble o el triple de lo que costaría mi propuesta. La quiebra del banco sin ayudas públicas provocaría un caos similar al de Argentina 2001, con corralito incluido.

La economía sigue leyes similares a las de la naturaleza, ya que no es más que comportamiento humano agregado. Segunda ley de la termodinámica: cuando creas orden, parando desahucios, quiebras bancos y provocas el caos, como ya comprobamos con Lehman Brothers o con Bankia. Mi propuesta resuelve el problema de los desahucios minimizando el desorden generado sobre el conjunto de la economía. La crisis ha superado todos los escenarios más pesimistas y es necesario adaptar nuestro ordenamiento a la nueva realidad. Necesitamos una ley de segunda oportunidad, similar a la que tienen en Francia, y la dación en pago sería la herramienta principal para evitar que las familias caigan en exclusión financiera. Pero hacerlo con carácter retroactivo tendría efectos más desastrosos de los que quiere resolver.

El PSOE llevó una propuesta al Congreso para crear este banco bueno que fue rechazada por el PP. Esperemos que la nueva dirección de Ferraz haga de esta medida su bandera en política económica y consiga convencer al resto de partidos de la oposición de la necesidad de aplicarla, en la siguiente legislatura claro. Rajoy está encantado de haberse conocido y esta medida le obligaría a reconocer que las cosas no se han hecho bien y que una cuarta parte de la población está en la pobreza y buena parte en pobreza severa.

Si en la siguiente legislatura, gracias a la fragmentación del voto de izquierda, el PP vuelve a ganar las elecciones; que Dios nos asista.



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trackbacks

[…] El debate fue intenso e interesante. Lástima que no hubo tiempo para que pudiese explicar, en respuesta a Tania Sánchez, de Izquierda Unida, mi propuesta para rescatar entidades financieras quebradas, evitando que se desestabilice el sistema como nos enseñó Lehman. Le habría dicho que hay una enorme distancia entre entregar viviendas con familias dentro a fondos buitre con un 50% de descuento, como se ha hecho con Catalunya Banc, y negociar con esas familias una refinanciación que incluya una quita por la misma cantidad que finalmente se ha dado por perdida, como expliqué recientemente en el artículo Catalunya Banc: mentiras, desahucios y despilfarro para el contribuyente.  […]

[…] 2009, los colombianos en 1987, los uruguayos en 2002 y que este economista observador lleva años proponiendo sin ningún éxito. Hay que usar el dinero público para ayudar a las familias en riesgo de […]

38 comentarios

001
no
27.07.2014 a las 09:24 Enlace Permanente

¿No serán juzgados?

002
Luis
28.07.2014 a las 22:51 Enlace Permanente

Claro que no serán juzgados!, pero en qué país se cree que vive?.

Nos escandalizamos de la Mafia, la Ndranguetta, la Camorra etc, pero soportamos como “normal” expolios masivos como la Gürtel, los Eres, la Pujolada, el Urdanga …casos de centenares de millones de euros, a la par de la capacidad de recaudación de la conocida mafia italiana.

Ahora toca abatir a Podemos. Que en el fondo, es la única vía de escape del pueblo. Utópicos?, Si, puede ser, pero necesarios.

Ya lo dijo García Márquez, a veces es necesaria una revolución, para que todos tengamos los mismos derechos. Y en toda revolución se ha de podar.

003
Mireya
29.07.2014 a las 13:24 Enlace Permanente

Interesantísimo post en lo referente a los datos, ideológimcamente sesgado. Tienes un odio a Podemos y la PAH que no se corresponden con la realidad, pero bueno, no se puede criticar. Tu propuesta de banco bueno de hipotecas es buena y la de Podemos y la PAH también es buena. No sería la ruina del sistema, evidentemente sería el final del paradigma capitalista: dinero llama dinero- haya dinero o no la haya. La banca como todo debe estar al servicio de la sociedad porque si no, es un elemento de expolio de lo que tienen los más débiles. Por tanto, es la política la que nos sacará de esta y no los economistas, que han sido marionetas de las grandes oligarquías para provocar esta horrible crisis: dación en pago para primeras viviendas, encausamiento y encarcelamiento de los expoliadores de lo público y entonces hablamos entre todos del sistema que queremos: y en democracia todo será posible siempre que se cuente con todos. ¡Contamos contigo José Carlos, seguro!

004
Milenary Hawk
21.08.2014 a las 11:13 Enlace Permanente

Capitalismo=dinero; dinero llama dinero,,,,si!!!! Pero el buen capitalismo es que se hace al hacer correr el dinero de mano en mano. No al quw se hace acaparandolo en pocas manos!!! Si corre todos lo disfrutan…pero si se acapara muchos lo sufren!!! Que es muy diferente!!!

005
is.gd
01.12.2014 a las 17:26 Enlace Permanente

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material} as {you did|you probably did}, the {internet|net|web} {will be|shall be|might
be|will probably be|can be|will likely be} {much more|a lot more} {useful|helpful} than ever before.|
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at this {website|web site|site|web page} is {really|actually|in fact|truly|genuinely} {marvelous|wonderful|excellent|fabulous|superb}.|
{Howdy|Hi there|Hi|Hello}, i read your blog {occasionally|from time
to time} and i own a similar one and i was just {wondering|curious} if you get a lot of spam {comments|responses|feedback|remarks}?
If so how do you {prevent|reduce|stop|protect against} it, any
plugin or anything you can {advise|suggest|recommend}?

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{It is the|It’s the} little changes {that make|which will make|that produce|that will make} {the biggest|the largest|the greatest|the most important|the most significant} changes.
{Thanks a lot|Thanks|Many thanks} for sharing!|
{I really|I truly|I seriously|I absolutely} love {your blog|your site|your
website}.. {Very nice|Excellent|Pleasant|Great} colors & theme.
Did you {create|develop|make|build} {this website|this site|this web site|this amazing site} yourself?
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{Thanks|Many thanks|Thank you|Cheers|Appreciate it|Kudos}!|
{Hi there|Hello there|Howdy}! This {post|article|blog post} {couldn’t|could not} be written {any better|much better}!

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{forward|send} {this article|this information|this post} to him.
{Pretty sure|Fairly certain} {he will|he’ll|he’s going to} {have
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Keep on posting!|
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am {nervous|anxious|worried|concerned} about switching
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Is there a way I can {transfer|import} all my wordpress {content|posts} into it?

{Any kind of|Any} help would be {really|greatly} appreciated!|
{Hello|Hi|Hello there|Hi there|Howdy|Good day}!
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{Terrific|Great|Wonderful} {article|work}!

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{I will be|I’ll be|I am} {coming back to|returning to}
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{I am|I’m} {extremely|really} impressed with your writing skills {and also|as well as} with the layout on your {blog|weblog}.
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{to peer|to see|to look} a {nice|great} {blog|weblog}
like this one {these days|nowadays|today}..|
{Hi|Hello}, Neat post. {There is|There’s} {a problem|an issue} {with your|together with your|along with your} {site|web site|website} in {internet|web} explorer, {may|might|could|would} {check|test} this?
IE {still|nonetheless} is the {marketplace|market} {leader|chief}
and {a large|a good|a big|a huge} {part of|section of|component to|portion of|component of|element of} {other folks|folks|other people|people} will {leave out|omit|miss|pass over} your {great|wonderful|fantastic|magnificent|excellent} writing {due to|because of} this
problem.|
{I’m|I am} not sure where {you are|you’re} getting your {info|information}, but {good|great} topic.
I needs to spend some time learning {more|much more}
or understanding more. Thanks for {great|wonderful|fantastic|magnificent|excellent} {information|info}
I was looking for this {information|info} for my mission.|
{Hi|Hello}, i think that i saw you visited my {blog|weblog|website|web site|site} {so|thus} i came
to “return the favor”.{I am|I’m} {trying to|attempting to} find
things to {improve|enhance} my {website|site|web site}!I suppose its ok to use {some of|a few of} your ideas!!\

030
related posts pro
25.07.2015 a las 00:19 Enlace Permanente

Hello there! Wouuld you mind iif I share your blog with my zyynga group?
There’s a lot of foks that I think would really appreciate your content.
Please let mee know. Thanks

031
bobop
26.07.2015 a las 07:45 Enlace Permanente

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032
Perfect Garcinia
26.07.2015 a las 09:53 Enlace Permanente

Fantastic post but I was wondering if you could write a litte more on this subject?
I’d be very thankful if you could elaborate a
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033
bobop
27.07.2015 a las 09:45 Enlace Permanente

Having read this I thought it was really enlightening.

I appreciate you finding the time and energy to put this article together.
I once again find myself spending a lot of time both reading and posting
comments. But so what, it was still worth it!

034
evrodent-tambov.ru
29.07.2015 a las 13:20 Enlace Permanente

Most of the people in operation vision about acquiring a call.

It happened to my friend–or instead at my buddy’s investment company, Third Avenue Management.
10 years ago, this affiliate was involved in regards to a proposed offer produced with
a business the company was invested in.
He asked a number of pointed questions with all the management
group on a conference call. Traders and other professionals were on the phone.
And unknowingly to everybody, therefore was Buffett.

Following the the decision ended, Buffett rang up the
affiliate and left a voice mail. In the beginning, he believed it was a nuisance call.
He later verified it was really the billionaire founder of Berkshire Hathaway who had called to compliment
him for some careful work with the corporation. Lesson learned: You
never know who is listening or seeing what you are doing.

I wasnot so fortunate. I had to spend years trying to get Buffett to speak if you ask me.
That has been the requirement when I joined Television–nab the first interview for the network with him.
And in my pursuit to accomplish that, I realized about what is required to get anybody–actually the planet ‘s next richest man–to talk to you several things.

035
The news
30.07.2015 a las 01:48 Enlace Permanente

About acquiring a call from Warren Buffett, most of the individuals in business vision.

It happened to my friend–or instead at my friend’s investment firm,
Third Avenue Administration. A decade ago, this associate was worried about a planned deal made with a company the corporation was spent in. He asked a string of pointed
questions with all the management group on a conference-call.
Other professionals and investors were about the call.

And unbeknownst to everybody, so was Buffett.

Buffett left a voicemail and called up the affiliate following the the decision ended.

At first, he thought it was a nuisance phone. He later confirmed it was indeed the billionaire founder of Berkshire Hathaway who had telephoned
to compliment him for a few careful work on the firm.
Lesson learned: You will never know who’s listening or seeing what you are doing.

I wasn’t so unlucky. I had to spend years trying to get Buffett to speak to me.
That has been the requirement when I joined Bloomberg Tv–nab the primary meeting for
the community with him. And within my pursuit to do this, I learned
about what it takes to get anyone–also the entire world’s next richest man–to talk for you, a few things.

How to locate a Gemstone In Robbins Brothers

We will likewise discuss them with highly valuued medical
specialists as well as board-certified physicians.

038
gabriella
04.01.2016 a las 06:56 Enlace Permanente

oportunidad financiero para sus necesidades

Este mensaje va dirigido a los particulares, a los pobres, al Banco privado, a los empresarios públicos o privados, o a todos

los que están en la necesidad de un préstamo particular para reconstruir su vida. Está en busca de préstamo para o para

reactivar sus actividades o para la realización de un proyecto, o para garantizar el futuro de sus niños, o para comprarle un

apartamento, un coche, pero es una prohibición bancaria o su expediente a verano rechazado al banco. Soy un particular,

concedo préstamos a todas personas que pueden respetar sus compromisos. Este préstamo se concede a todas las personas capaz

de cumplir las condiciones. Mi porcentaje de interés es de 2 al 3% por año reembolsable a medio, a corto o largo plazo, según

su conveniencia con el fin de ustedes dado el tiempo fructificado del empréstito que había recibido. Si necesita dinero por

otras razones, no dudan en contactarme para más información. Todos particulares serios y honestos estoy allí para ustedes.

Gracias de contactarme por E-mail a una única dirección: fredialaila@gmail.com

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